Modeling COVID-19 Infection Rates to Inform Schools

Modeling COVID-19 Infection Rates to Inform School Site Closings/Openings Quantitative risk analysis continues to be a focus for GFOA, including how it can be best leveraged in financial forecasting for local governments. Recently, GFOA has been examining application of quantitative risk analysis to COVID-19 infection rate modeling in conjunction with several highly regarded experts in the area, who developed a national COVID-19 forecasting model. This knowledge is now being applied to local government decision-making, including when to open schools. In this session, speakers will cover the benefits of probabilistic modeling for COVID-19 related issues and some of the latest findings from COVID-19 research including determinants of the reproductive number and theories on this summer's reduced infection fatality rate.


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